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File: 110196_aacjr_02.txt
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IMMEDIATE * U N C L A S S I F I E D * TOD = 042 1220
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AT _5.5N/39E (1025MB), 33N/44E (1025MB) , AND 22N/47.5E (1026MB) .
ANOTHER HIGH IS LOCATED TO THE SE OF CRETE AT 34N/27E ( 1025MB) . THE'
UPPER LVL RIDGE IS STILL LOCATED OUR NERN AFRICA AND THE ERN MED, AND
IS STILL SHIFTING SLWLY TO THE E . LEESIDE TROFING IS FOUND BTWN 3 4N/
37E, 30N/37E, AND A WK LOW CIRCULATION AT 29N/41E. A TROF XTNDS OUT
OF THIS LOW TO THE ESE TO 2 7N/4 6E . THE S/W TALKED ABOUT PREVIOUSLY
HAS MOVD INTO THE NWRN AOR, AND IS XPCTD TO DEEPEN THE LEESIDE LOW,
AND MOVE IT SE DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS WILL TRIGGER GUSTY SW TO SE
WNDS AND RSTRCTD HIS IN NERN SA AS IT PASSES. MID/UPPR - ILL CIGS ARE
ALSO XPCTD AS THE S/WV MOVS THRU THE AOR. THE RED SEA TROF IS FOUND
BTWN 13N/35E, A LOW AT 25N/37 . 5E, AND 29N/35E. ANOTHER LEESIDE TROF
XTNDS ALG THE ZAGROS MTNS IN IRAN, AND WILL INTERACT W/THE HIGH IN S/
CNTL SA TO CONT GUSTY ENDS IN THE ARABIA GULF. ONSHORE FLOW HAS
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PRODUCED LIMITED FG/ST IN THE UAE, BUT PROBS ARE STILL BEING
EXPERIENCED IN THE SRN/SWRN ARABIAN PENN, AD ARE XPCTD TO CONT .
-THE REMAINING AOR S ITS CONTENTEDLY UNDER VIRTUALLY CLD FREE SKIES .
2. SEA SURFACE DATA IT: 12/OOZ
(26N/52E) (22N/64E) (18N/40E)
TEMP (C) 21 24 26
WAVE DIR 330 020 090
PERIOD SEC 6 6 4
H ,HT FT 6 3 2
3. PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
L/V PTRN OVR THE AOR RESEMBLES NRLY ZONAL FLOW DUE TO SIG S/WV AT
30N/35E, AND ANOTHER OVR AFGANISTAN (35N/75E) DISTORTING THE LET.
ST] AXIS ENTERS THE AOR WK AD ILL-DEFINED NEAR 2 5N/3 BE, XITING OVR
THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. PFJ AXIS RESINS OF THE CASPIAN SEA W/A BENCH
OUR THE ERA MED CROSSING THE NIT AOR THRU IQ, XITING INTO CNTL IT.
THE COMBO OF JETS CREATED A SHARED ENERGY AREA OF VORT THAT XTNDS FRM
NRN SA ( 2 ON) NE ACROSS IQ TO THE CASPIAN SEA . THIS BROAD AREA OF PVA
GENERATED THN BKN CI OVR MOST OF THE NRN AOR. BE ACAS IN NRN IQ IS
DVLPG ALG THE 700MB TROF THAT IS TRAVRSG E AT 2 0KTS W/THE SON MOST
XTNT OF CLDS REMAING JUST N OF BAGHDAD . IN NOT SA, ALG 3 ON BTWN 3 7E
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TO 42E, SCT/BKN ENHNCD AC W/SCT CI DLPD IN AN AREA OF PVA INDUCED BY
S PEED SHEAR, W/STATIONS IN AREA RPTG VIRGA . S CT AC XTNDS FRTHR S
ALG THE 7 0 OMB TROF, REFLCTG THE 5 0 OMB S/ AT 3 ON/ 3 5E . LOLL MSTR
ADVCTD OVR THE ARABIAN PENN BY THE SFC HIGH (25N/49E AT 00Z ) BCM
EVIDENT W/SFC HTG THIS MORNG AS FIELD OF SCT CUSC ALG CSTLN. W/
TERRAIN CHNLG, CUSC CONTS TO ADVCT INTO THE RED SEA W/NRN BN DRY OF
BKH CLDS XTNDG TO 2 ON. RIDGING OVR ERN LIBYA IS CONTG TO KEEP
EGYPT AND THE MED E OF 25E MOSTLY CLD FREE .
PART D: AREA FORECASTS
A AREA 10:
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IMMEDIATE * U C L A S S I F I E D *
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