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File: 110796_aacju_02.txt
WITH THE MAJOR S/WV MOVING THRU THE AOR. IT INDICATES THE RIDGE
SHIFT'S EAST AND SHARPENS WHILE THE TROF OVR THE CNTRL MED DEEPENS.,
THE PREDOMINATE SFC FLOW WILL BE ESE ACROSS THE AOR WITH AM FG/ST
IN THE UAE. SFC WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE AOR WITH lSOLD GUSTY WNDS
IN THE PG. THE RED SEA TROF WILL SLIDE W AND THE PG TROF WILL
SLOWLY FILL. SKIES WILL START TO CLEAR AGAIN AS THE S/WV MOVES
THRU THE CNTRL AOR AND PUSHES ON INTO IRAN.
2. SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 14/OOZ
A (2GN/52E) (22N/04E) (18N/40E)
TEMP (C) 21 24 26
WAVE DIR 320 310 140
PERIOD SEC 4 4 4
HEIGHT FT 4 3 4
3. PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
PFJ FLOW IN CONBINAT1ON WITH THE STJ IN A DIFFLUENT PATTERN OVR
THE L/WV RIDGE GENERATI1NG XTNSV CICS IN THE NRN AOR. UNFORTUNATELY,
NUMEROUS POWER FAILURES PRETTY MUCH WRECKED THE METEOSAT LOOP THIS AM MAKING FOR DIFFICT DELINATION OF INTERACTING SYSTEMS OVR THE -
MED.. PFJ CROSSES SRN ITALY (40N/1OE) AT INK BASE THEN TURNS NEWRD
AND DVRGS AS IT CROSSES N TO 5 AI,G THE LO/WV AXIS ALO 35E. SIGNFNT
S/UV TN THE PFJ FLOW AT 09Z (AT 40N/30E) CONTINUES TO MV NEWRD AT
??KTS, BRINGING LYRD OKN MID AND UFR EVL CLDS TO MUCH OF
TURKEY, DIFFLUENT FLOW OVR RIDGE AXIS FURTHER ENHANCES AND
SPREADS THE CICS FH THE BLACK SEA TO NRN SYRIA. FURTHER
ADVECTlON IS VSBL SEKRD OF RIDGE AXIS AS CICS CIGS MOVE RAPIDLY
ACROSS CNTRL IRAQ lNlO IRAN. MEANWHILE, THE STJ AXIS INDICATES
A BLDG RIDGE IN WRN LIBYA, SLT TROFG OVR CNTRL EGYPT
(REFLECTING THE INTERACTION ~ THE PFJ S/WV) THEN OVR THE BROAD
RIDGE AXIS (ALG 35E)1 W/ STJ FLOW EXITING THE AOR OVR THE GULF
OF OMAN (25N/65E). D1FFLUENT AREA OVR THE L/WV RIDGE
INTERACTING W/ PFJ DIFFLUENT FLOW HAS CREATED WIDE SPREAD THIN
BKN CICS FN NRN SYRIA (35N) TO NW SA (25N), WITH FURTHER
ADVECTION EWRD ACROSS SRN IRAQ, KUWAIT AND THE FG NORTH OF 26N.
THE WRN BOUNDARY IF CI REMAINS THE L/WV RIDGE ALG 35E UP TO
33N1 WHERE THICKER CTCS AND LYRD CLDNS IS ASSOC W/ PFJ FLOW,
XTNDG FURTHER NEWRD INTO TURKEY. FEW AREAS OF DKN ACAS ALG
XTHM SRN ARABIAN PENN. CONTINUES TO DVLP AND ADVCT EWRD AT' 15KTS
FM WK MID LVL TROFG, LLVL FLOW INTO THE GULF OF ADEN CONTINUES
TO PUSH MOISTURE OVR THE HORN OF AFRICA AND INTO XTRM SRN RED SEA.
NRN BOUNDARY OF CONVERGENT CLDNS REMAINS APPROX. 17N ALG THE
SFC TROF IN THE RED SEA.
4 PART D: AREA FORECASTS
A. AREA 10:
WINDS: NWRN: 14012KT
NRN/NERN: 03008KI
ERN: 33010/18KT
CNTRL: VRBO5KT
- --- SERN: 36010KT
SWRN: 15008KT
VSBY/WX: 7
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