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File: 110796_aacms_04.txt
CNTL/SRN: 5CUSC030/050 CIO030
MIN ALSTG: 2g.90INS
ICG: NONE
TURBC: NRN: MDT 250/450
MAX/MIN: 27/12
5. (U) PART E: 24HR TO 48HR OUTLOOK:
USING BOTH THE GLOBAL AND FNOC PROGS, THE LOW THAT WAS LOCATED IN
ERN JORDAN WILL TRACK ALG THE POLAR FRNTL BNDRY AND INTO THE NRN
ARABIAN GULF DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS LOW IS SUPPORTED BY S/WVS AND
THE VORTICITY PROGS INITIALIZED AND VERIFY THIS MOVMT. XPCT BRKS IN
THE LOW/MID CLD CVR BTWN LOWS, AND GUSTY SFC WNDS AND ISOLD BLOWING
SAND AS THEY PROGRESS ESE. THE LOW DURING THIS PERIOD IS XPCTD TO BE
THE STRONGEST W/STRG SFC WNDS.
PART 6. (U) PART F:48 HR TO 72HR OUTLOOK: THE PROGS SHOW A LARGE AREA OF
NVA MOVG INTO THE AOR DURING THIS PERIOD WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM WELL TO
THE W IN NRN AFRICA. THE LOW IN PART E WILL BE THE FINAL WAVE AND
CONDS WILL GRTLY IMPRV IN THE NRN AOR. THE DEPARTING LOW WILL EXERT
ITS LAST ENERGIES ON THE UAE AND OMAN. THE FLOW AFTER THE LOWS
PASSAGE-WILL OPEN THE CNTL/ERN/NERN AREAS OF SA TO MORE FG/ST CONDS
WHICH WILL MOVE INTO THE UAE BY PERIODS END.
FORECASTER/DC: FEDERICO/COE
U N C L A S
. .
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