CENTAF WEATHER SWO BULLETIN 45

File: 110196_aacbt_01.txt
Page: 01
Total Pages: 3

SUBJECT: CENTAF WEATHER SWO BULLETIN 45
DESCRIPTION: SYNOPTIC SITUATION WEATHER FROM 21/0000Z TO 22/0000Z JAN 91 (PART A) METSAT WEATHER DISCUSSION 9PART B) 24-48 HR FORECAST (PARTS E&F) DOCUMENT IS MISSING ADDRESS ELEMENT.
ATTENTION: THE TFU HAS A NEW PHONE, [(b)(2) PLEASE
ROUTE ALL MESSAGE TRAFFIC DESTINED FOR THE TFU TO RHIUFZA/CENTAF
WEATHER. THANK YOU. SWO BULLETIN 45
FOXX31 XXXX 210000 KQQG JOAF #300 VALID: 21/0000Z TO 22/0000Z JAN 9l
1. (U) PART A: SYNOPTIC SITUATION:
15Z SFC ANAL SHOWS A WEAK LOW AT 26N/52E (1015MB) WITH A COUPLE OF
TROFS EXTENDING OUT OF THE LOW. THE FIRST TROF EXTENDS FROM THE LOW
SOUTHWEST TO 18N/47E, THE NEXT ONE EXTENDS ALONG THE EAST COAST up
INTO SOUTHEASTERN IRAQ TO 30N/46E. ANOTHER LOW IS LOCATED IN THE
EASTERN MED AT 35N/30E {1015MBS) WITH A TROF EXTENDING DOWN INTO
EGYPT. THIS LOW IS SLOWING MOVING EAST PRODUCING TSTMS/RASH IN THE -
EASTERN MED. HIGH-PRESSURE FROM THE CASPIAN SEA IS RIDGING SOUTH INTO
CENTRAL IRAQ, AND NRN SAUDI ARABIA. HIGH PRESSURE IS ALSO LOCATED AT
WITH A VALUE OF 1019MBS. WEAK LOW (1018MBS) WAS
LOCATED AT 36N/42E AND IS SLOWLY MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST. EXPECT FOG
AND STRATUS AGAIN IN THE MORNING AS THE FLOW ALONG THE EAST COAST,
NERN, NRN, AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL SAUDI ARABIA WILL BE OFF OF THE THE
PERSIAN GULF. DURING THIS PERIOD THE LOW AT 26N/52E WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST AND FILL. THE ASSOCIATED TROF WILL CONTINUE TO
PuSH SOUTH. EXPECT THE ST/FG TO CONTINUE TO PLAGUE THE SOUTHERN
THIRD OF THE PENINSULA. TROFING WAS ALSO EVIDENT FROM NWRN SAUDI
ARABIA TO EASTERN JORDAN. THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD STARTS TO GO FROM A LOW ZONAL FLOW TO A HIGH ZONAL FLOW.
SHORTWAVES WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE THROUGH NORTHERN SAUDI ARABIA,I
KUWAIT, AND SOUTHERN IRAQ BRINGING MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS TO THE
AREA.. THE FOG AND STRATUS DECK IN SOUTHERN IRAQ AND NORTHERN SAUDI
ARABIA WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR PERIOD.
2. (U) PART B: SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 20/12Z
POINT 1 POINT 2 POINT3
26N/52E) (22N/04E) (18N/40E)
TEMP (C) 22 25 27
WAVE DIR 260 050 130
PERIOD SEC O 4 4
HEIGHT FT 1 4 4
3. (U) PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
DMSP AT 19Z SHOWS A SHORTWAVE MOVING THRU NRN SAUDI ARABIA. THE STJ
IS STILL SCREAMING THRU THE NRN AOR WITH JET MAXES OF 110KTS. MOST
OF THE CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE JET ARE AC/AS FROM 100 TO 180.
SOME BUILD-UPS CAN BE SEEN ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE IN
NORTHWESTERN SAUDI ARABIA. THIS SHORT WAVE HAS BEEN MOVING AT 70 TO
80KTS AND IS LOSING STRENGTH AS IT CLIMBS THE RIDGE. ANOTHER LESS
INTENSE SHORTWAVE WAS LOCATED IN SRN IRAQ/NAN PERSIAN GULF. THE
REMAINDER OF THE CNTRL AND NRN AOR IS UNDER AN AC/AS DECK FROM 100 TO
180. SFC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A SCT TO BKN SC DECK PROM 015 TO 040 IN
NORTHERN SAUDI ARABIA. PATCHY ST IS PRESENT IN VARIOUS FORMS FROM