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File: 110196_aacbw_01.txt
SUBJECT: SW BULLETIN 45
SUBJECT: CENTAF WEATHER SWO BULLETIN 45 REF JOAF 288 IS A SYNOPTIC WEATHER FROM 15-16 jAN 91; SEA SURFACE DATA, METSAT DISCUSSION, FORECAST OUTLOOK : NO ADDRESS PAGE.
ATTENTION: PLEASE ROUTE ALL MESSAGE TRAFFIC DESTINED FOR THE TFU
TO RHIUFZA/CENTAF WEATHER. THANK YOU.
SWO BULLETIN 45
FOXX31 XXXX 142330.
KQQ6 JOAF #288 VALID: I5/OOOOZ TO 16/OOOOZ JAN 91
1. (U) PART A: SYNOPTIC SITUATION:
15Z SFC ANAL SHOWS A WK LOK CTRD AT APPROX 20N/53E (IOI5SMB) WITH
TROFO XTNO SWWRD TO APPROX 18N/45E. GUSTY WINDS HAVE BEEN RPTD IN
THE NERN/ERN AOR IN THE VCNTY OF THIS TROF (20 TO 30KTS). ISOLD RWS
ARE OCCURRING IN THE SERN ARABIAN GULF IN THE VCNTY OF THE LOW.
A SEPARATE LOW IS EVIDENT IN NRN IRAQ AT APPROX 36N/43E (1014MB) WITH
TROFG TO THE SE. HIGH PRESSURE IS RIDGING INTO THE NWRN AOR. THE
RED SEA TROF XTNDS NWRD FROM 10/37E TO 26N/40E. DURING THE NEXT
24HRS AM FOG/ST ARE EXPECTED TO PLAGUE PORTIONS OF THE NRN AND ERN
AOR DUE TO RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND CLRING SKIES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE GUSTY IN THE ERN AOR WITH VSBYS REDUCED IN BLOWING SAND.
IN THE UPPER LEVELS, FLOW HAS BECOME HIGH ZONAL ACROSS THE AOR,
LENDING LITTLE SUPPORT TO THE SFC TROF.
2. PART B: SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 15/12Z
POINT 1 POINT 2 POINT 3
(26/52E) (22/64E) (18N/40E)
TEMP (C) 21 24 27
WAVE DIR 130 040 130
PERIOD SEC 4 4 4
HEIGHT FT 3 4 4
3. (U) PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
DMSP IMAGERY AT 1830Z SHOWED CONTD CLRG THRU CNTRL SA AT THE MID AND
UPR LEVELS. STRONG MID LVL FLOW OVER THE RED SEA TROF PERPENDICULAR
TO THE WRN MTNS SA HAS GENERATED MTN WVS THAT EXTND FWRD TO RIYADH
(EVIDENCE OF POSSIBLE MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURBC). BKN TO OVC ST/SC
IS EVIDENT OVR NERN IRAQ (33N/44E, 60NM DIAMETER). BKN TO OVC ST/SC
LIES ACROSS THE CNTRL ARABIAN GULF AND THRU CNTRL SA ALONG THE APPROX
POSITION OF THE TROF (29N/50E TO 26N/54E TO 22N/47E). SCT AC IS
EVIDENT OVR WRN SA FROM 18N/41E TO 22N/47E TO 21N/48E.
4. PART D: AREA FORECASTS
A. AREA 10 (ALL OF SA, YEMEN, UAE AND OMAN)
WINDS: NRN: 33012KT; 33012/20KT 08 TO 14Z
ERN: 33012/20KT ISOLD G28KT; 33015KT AFT 14Z
CNTRL: 34010KT; 34012/20KT 08 TO 14Z
SRN: 08012KT
VSBY/WX: CNTRL: 7; 5SAHZ 08 TO 14Z
ERN/SERN: 5SAHZ; ISOLD 1/2FG TIL 05Z
ISOLD 4RW
SRN: 7
CLOUDS: ERN/SERN: 5STOlO/025 6AC070/100 CIGOIO
3SC020/030 5AC070/100 CIG070 AFT 10
CNTRL: 4SC025/035 5AC080/100 CIG080
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