CENTAF SWO BULLETIN 45, REF: KQQG JOAF #317

File: 120596_aacln_01.txt
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SUBJECT:  CENTAF SWO BULLETIN 45, REF: KQQG JOAF #317

  
   U N C L A S
   SWO BULLETIN 45
   FOXX31 XXXX 291200
   KQQG JOAF #317              VALID: 29/1200Z TO 30/1200Z JAN 91
   1. (U) PART A: SYNOPTIC SITUATION:
   ANALYSIS AT 29/OOZ SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN FROM THE USSR ACRS
   IRAN, IRAQ AND INTO THE ARABIAN PENISULA.  TROFING EXTENDS ACRS THE
   ARABIAN GULF AND ACRS THE RED SEA. A LOW  IS LOCATED IN THE EMED AT
   AT 34N/26E WITH A TROF EXTENDING TO THE WEST TO SICILY, A TROF
   EXTENDING SW ACRS NW EGYPT AND INTO LIBYA, A TROF EXTENDING SE ACRS
   NE EGYPT TO THE SINAI. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE EAST AT 5 TO
   lOKTS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN NW SAUDI AT 29N/41E.
   THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
   PRESSURE AS THE NE-MONSOONAL FLOW ADVECTS LOW LVL MOISTURE ACRS THE
   REGION..IN THE UPPER LVLS, A S/WV OVR THE EMED IS ADVECTING LAYERED
   CLOUDINESS ACRS THE NORTHERN AOR. THE S/WV IS MOVING TO THE ENE AT -
   40KTS, THUS OUTRUNNING THE SFC SYSTEM IN THE EMED AND GIVING THE
   CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IN NW SAUDI SUPPORT FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.
   THE LOW IN NW SAUDI IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN SLIGHTLY AS IT GAINS UPPER
   LVL SUPPORT AND TREK SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH AN ASSOC TROF.  THE STJ
   ENTERS THE AOR IN SOUTHERN FGYPT AND EXTENDS EAST TO THE SRN ARABIAN
   GULF. A BRANCH OF THE PFJ EXTENDS SEWRD ACRS GREECE TO THF EMED AND
   --WRD ACRS SYRIA AND N IRAQ. A SHARED ENERGY  JET MAX OF 130 KTS IS
   SITUATED OVR EMED/NRN EGYPT AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST TO THE
   SAUDI/IRAQI/KUWAIT BORDER REGION BY EOP AS CAA FROM EUROPE DEEPENS
   THE LONGWAVE TROF OVR THE EMED AND WAA BUILDS THE RIDGE OVR EASTERN
   IRAN. THE LOW LVL SYSTEM IN THE EMED WILL UNDERGO FRONTOCENESIS BY EOP
   AS COLD AIR POURS INTO THE FMED.
   2. SEA SURFACE DATA VT: 29/12Z
			POINT 1 	POINT 2        		POINT 3
                     (26N/52E)           (22N/64E)           (18N/40E)         	
TEMP (C)      		    21 		     25           	     27
WAVE DIR   		  020. 		   360           	   130
PERIOD SEC          	     4		       4                     4
HEIGHT FT         	     3                 4		     4
   3. (U) PART C: METSAT DISCUSSION:
   LONG WV PATTERN OVR AOR PREDOMINATELY ZONAL WITH SLGT TROFG CAUSED
   BY A SIGNIFICANT S/WV IN THE EMED THAT REMAINS CTR OF ATTN THIS
   MORNING. CONTINUITY OF METEOSATS AND DMSR IMAGERY INDICATES THE WAVE
   IS MADE UP OF MAIN ADVCTN LOBE, WITH ANOTHER LOBE MASKED IN THE AREA
   OF PVA. THIS PRECEDING LOBE EXTENDFD SOUTHEASTWARD FROM VOTR
   35N/27E AT OOZ. THIS ACCOUNTS FOR THE BKN ACAS OVR SINAI/JORDON,
   WHILE EMED/SYRIA/TURKEY IS COVERED BY THICK LYRD CICS AND ACAS. FROM
   OOZ TO 09Z LOBE CONTIUED TO TREK EASTWARD AT 25KTS WITH SRN EDGE
   SWINGING NORTHEASTWARD AT 4OKTS. LOCATION OF S/WV AS OF O9Z,
   34N/33E, WITH MAIN VORT LOBE EXTENDING SOUTHEASTWARD TO 27N/42E
   CAUSING BKN TO OVC CICS OVR IRAQ AND KUWAIT. RAPID CLRG OCCURS WITH
     WV PASSAGE. CNTRL PORTION OF AOR REMAINS MOSTLY CLOUD FREE WITH
   EXCEPTION OF SCT/BKN ST/SC IN CTRL SA SOUTH OF 24N THAT CONTINUES TO 
    DRIFT WESTWARD WITH THE 850MB FLOW.  SCT/BKN SC OF THE STRAIT OF